Reports

Global Economic Outlook - November 2018

Economic research

  • Algeria,
  • Angola,
  • General economic

8th November 2018

Hiker Global Economic Outlook

The bright outlook presented in May has proven true but clouds are quickly gathering on the horizon. In an increasingly uncertain environment, there is no room for policy mistakes.

Trading Briefs

Atradius know-how on trading opportunities including the documents: Export Practice, Credit-to-Cash Briefings and the Atradius Risk Map.

Industry Performance Forecast

Atradius industry forecasts give you access to trends and forecasts in key industries of the country.

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    Trade war risks grinding global trade growth to a halt

    Economic research

    • China,
    • USA
    • General economic

    11th June 2019

    World trade growth stagnated in Q1 amid the escalating trade war. While we expect some recovery in 2019, further escalation of the trade war could grind growth to a halt.

    European elections 2019

    Economic research

    • Austria,
    • Belgium,
    • General economic

    29th May 2019

    European pro-trade policy likely to stay in place after the European elections

    Country report Austria 2019

    Country report

    • Austria
    • General economic

    28th May 2019

    In 2019 Austrian economic growth is expected to decelerate after a robust performance in 2018, mainly due to weaker external demand and lower investment.

    Country report Switzerland 2019

    Country report

    • Switzerland
    • General economic

    28th May 2019

    Swiss economic growth is expected to slow down in 2019, as external demand from the Eurozone and the US has weakened and investment growth decreases.

    Country report Denmark 2019

    Country report

    • Denmark
    • General economic

    28th May 2019

    The Danish economy has regained some of its international competitiveness due to structural reforms that addressed the issue of high labour costs.

    Country report Sweden 2019

    Country report

    • Sweden
    • General economic

    28th May 2019

    A potential downside risk to the economic performance could be the high household debt in case of sharp house price decreases and interest rate increases.

    Country report Belgium 2019

    Country report

    • Belgium
    • General economic

    28th May 2019

    In 2019 the number of Belgian business insolvencies will still be higher than the levels seen before the start of the global credit crisis in 2008.

    Country report Ireland 2019

    Country report

    • Ireland
    • General economic

    28th May 2019

    The Irish economy is expected to grow by about 2.5% in 2019, but remains exposed to ongoing economic uncertainties stemming from the Brexit decision.

    Country report Spain 2019

    Country report

    • Spain
    • General economic

    28th May 2019

    Household consumption is sustained by rising employment, higher wages and low interest rates, while lower financing costs support business investments.

    Country report The Netherlands 2019

    Country report

    • Netherlands
    • General economic

    28th May 2019

    In 2019 Dutch export performance is impacted by lower demand from France and Germany, the ongoing Brexit issue and increased global trade uncertainty.

    Country report Italy 2019

    Country report

    • Italy
    • General economic

    28th May 2019

    Due to economic stagnation, political uncertainty and tighter credit conditions business insolvencies are forecast to increase by more than 5% in 2019.

    Country report United Kingdom 2019

    Country report

    • United Kingdom
    • General economic

    28th May 2019

    British business insolvencies are expected to increase by more than 5% in 2019, mainly affecting businesses active in the construction and retail sectors.

    Country report France 2019

    Country report

    • France
    • General economic

    28th May 2019

    With more than 55,000 business failures expected in 2019, the number of insolvencies will still be as high as during the start of the 2008 credit crisis.

    Country report Germany 2019

    Country report

    • Germany
    • General economic

    28th May 2019

    After several years of annual decreases, German business insolvencies are expected to increase again in 2019 as the economic expansion slows down.

    DSO in Singapore expected to worsen

    Payment Practices Barometer

    • Singapore
    • Chemicals/Pharma,
    • Construction,

    20th May 2019

    Businesses in Singapore expect DSO to deteriorate over the coming months. Read the complete overview of corporate payment practices by sector.

    Taiwan: Payment default risks put pressure on business

    Payment Practices Barometer

    • Taiwan
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    20th May 2019

    Taiwanese businesses are the least inclined in the Asia Pacific to sell on credit. Get your copy of the latest payment practices barometer and find out why.

    How will Japan avoid disruptive loss in export markets

    Payment Practices Barometer

    • Japan
    • Agriculture,
    • Consumer Durables,

    20th May 2019

    Businesses in Japan are focused more on strengthening receivables' collection activities than having a more strategic approach to credit management.

    China: Increase in trade credit risk on the horizon?

    Payment Practices Barometer

    • China
    • Automotive/Transport,
    • Consumer Durables,

    20th May 2019

    Survey respondents in China expect trade credit risk to increase over the coming months. Find out more about their business challenges going forward.

    Internal demand & export growth drive B2B sales

    Payment Practices Barometer

    • India
    • Agriculture,
    • Consumer Durables,

    20th May 2019

    Internal demand & export growth work in favor of Indian B2B credit sales, but future trends of B2B payment practices affecting business confidence in India.

    Australia: what can businesses expect?

    Payment Practices Barometer

    • Australia
    • Automotive/Transport,
    • Construction,

    20th May 2019

    Shortage of capital and restricted business growth due to a deteriorating domestic economy, tighter financial conditions and more competition. Challenging times for Australian businesses.

    Trade credit insurance to the rescue in Hong Kong

    Payment Practices Barometer

    • Hong Kong
    • Construction,
    • Consumer Durables,

    20th May 2019

    The use of trade credit in B2B transactions enhances financial flexibility and mitigates negative effects of increased global competition for Hong Kong's large enterprises and SMEs.

    Growing demand for credit insurance in APAC

    Payment Practices Barometer

    • Australia,
    • China,
    • Automotive/Transport,
    • Consumer Durables,

    20th May 2019

    APAC economies are vulnerable to weaker global trade, leading to more businesses taking a more strategic approach to credit management.

    How do businesses react to weaker demand from China?

    Payment Practices Barometer

    • Indonesia
    • Agriculture,
    • Consumer Durables,

    20th May 2019

    Payment terms extended by survey respondents in Indonesia are notably more relaxed than last year. Does loosing terms on export sales reflect a need to limit the fall off in export demand?

    Global Economic Outlook - May 2019

    Economic research

    • Algeria,
    • Angola,
    • General economic

    16th May 2019

    The global economy is losing steam in 2019 and 2020. Ongoing uncertainty regarding the trade war continues to cloud the outlook.

    South America country report Brazil 2019

    Country report

    • Brazil
    • General economic

    30th April 2019

    The adoption of a pension reform that provides savings of at least 600-700 billion reais is key to keep public debt sustainable and to sustain invertors’ confidence in the long-term.

    South America country report Argentina 2019

    Country report

    • Argentina
    • General economic

    30th April 2019

    Coupled with high interest rates of more than 60% austerity measures will deepen and lengthen the economic contraction, and a rebound expected in late 2019 at the earliest.

    South America country report Chile 2019

    Country report

    • Chile
    • General economic

    30th April 2019

    Shock resistance is strong due to prudent economic and financial policies, but a serious disturbance of global trade by protectionism would hurt exports.

    South America country report Colombia 2019

    Country report

    • Colombia
    • General economic

    30th April 2019

    GDP is forecast to grow about 3% annually, driven by higher oil prices, investments and consumption, but concerns about the fiscal deficit remain an issue.

    South America country report Peru 2019

    Country report

    • Peru
    • General economic

    30th April 2019

    Main risks to the outlook are a hard landing of the Chinese economy and social unrest in the mining sector, which could affect the investment climate.

    Market Monitor Consumer Durables UK 2019

    Market Monitor

    • United Kingdom
    • Consumer Durables

    11th April 2019

    The UK sales outlook for consumer durables in 2019 is more subdued as household finances are strained and private consumption growth is decreasing.

    Market Monitor Consumer Durables USA 2019

    Market Monitor

    • USA
    • Consumer Durables

    11th April 2019

    Higher costs of raw materials and import tariffs have increased operational costs and reduced overall profitability in the household appliances segment.

    Market Monitor Consumer Durables Netherlands 2019

    Market Monitor

    • Netherlands
    • Consumer Durables

    11th April 2019

    Insolvencies are expected to level off or to increase slightly in 2019, in line with the forecast of a modest 2% increase in Dutch business failures.

    Market Monitor Consumer Durables Italy 2019

    Market Monitor

    • Italy
    • Consumer Durables

    11th April 2019

    Many smaller retailers lack the flexibility and financial means to adapt business models to changing consumer habits, and the credit risk remains elevated.

    Market Monitor Consumer Durables Germany 2019

    Market Monitor

    • Germany
    • Consumer Durables

    11th April 2019

    Retailers´ margins are expected to decrease further due to the fierce competitive market environment in most segments and increased price transparency.

    Market Monitor Consumer Durables China 2019

    Market Monitor

    • China
    • Consumer Durables

    11th April 2019

    Profit margins of retailers in the online segment to increase slightly in 2019, while brick-and-mortar retailers face continued margin pressure.

    Market Monitor Consumer Durables UAE 2019

    Market Monitor

    • United Arab Emirates
    • Consumer Durables

    11th April 2019

    The number of payment delays and protracted defaults is expected to remain high in 2019, due to ongoing cash flow problems and restricted access to loans.

    Market Monitor Consumer Durables France 2019

    Market Monitor

    • France
    • Consumer Durables

    11th April 2019

    Even larger consumer durables retailers could face troubles due to increased financial exposure after acquisitions and the difficult economic environment.

    Market Monitor Consumer Durables Spain 2019

    Market Monitor

    • Spain
    • Consumer Durables

    11th April 2019

    Good payment behaviour in the household appliances, furniture and consumer electronics segments over the past two years, and no major changes are expected.

    Market Monitor Consumer Durables Belgium 2019

    Market Monitor

    • Belgium
    • Consumer Durables

    11th April 2019

    Both payment delays and insolvencies are expected to increase in the coming six months, mainly affecting smaller consumer durables retailers in Belgium.

    Market Monitor Consumer Durables Indonesia 2019

    Market Monitor

    • Indonesia
    • Consumer Durables

    11th April 2019

    With its large population, growing middle class and increasingly modern spending habits Indonesia's retail sector is one of the most promising in Asia.

    Asia country report China 2019

    Country report

    • China
    • General economic

    28th March 2019

    China´s economic growth is forecast to slow down to 6% while downside risks have increased and business insolvencies will increase further in 2019

    Asia country report India 2019

    Country report

    • India
    • General economic

    28th March 2019

    India´s economic outlook for 2019 and 2020 remains robust with about 7% growth, but a weak banking sector and high corporate indebtedness are concerns.

    Asia country report Indonesia 2019

    Country report

    • Indonesia
    • General economic

    28th March 2019

    Indonesia´s short-term economic prospects are generally positive, but it remains vulnerable to sharply decreasing capital flows to emerging markets.

    Asia country report Japan 2019

    Country report

    • Japan
    • General economic

    28th March 2019

    Japan´s export growth will slow down due to lower global trade expansion, but domestic demand will underpin the economic expansion of about 1% in 2019.

    Asia country report Vietnam 2019

    Country report

    • Vietnam
    • General economic

    28th March 2019

    The export sector increasingly benefits from relocation of export-oriented industries away from China, due to Vietnam’s relatively low production costs.

    Asia country report Thailand 2019

    Country report

    • Thailand
    • General economic

    28th March 2019

    Private consumption and public infrastructure investments sustain Thailand´s economic growth in 2019 and 2020, but high household debt remains an issue.

    Asia country report Malaysia 2019

    Country report

    • Malaysia
    • General economic

    28th March 2019

    Economic growth is expected to slow down somewhat in 2019 and 2020, mainly due to lower export growth and the cooling down of the Chinese economic cycle.

    Asia country report Singapore 2019

    Country report

    • Singapore
    • General economic

    28th March 2019

    Due to its high dependency on international trade, Singapore is highly susceptible to global protectionism and a hard landing of the Chinese economy.

    Asia country report the Philippines 2019

    Country report

    • Phillipines
    • General economic

    28th March 2019

    Major infrastructure investment is necessary in order to increase private investments and to safeguard high economic growth rates in the long term.

    Asia country report South Korea 2019

    Country report

    • South Korea
    • General economic

    28th March 2019

    Due to its high dependency on international trade, South Korea is highly susceptible to global protectionism and a hard landing of the Chinese economy.

    Disclaimer

    The statements made herein are provided solely for general informational purposes and should not be relied upon for any purpose. Please refer to the actual policy or the relevant product or services agreement for the governing terms. Nothing herein should be construed to create any right, obligation, advice or responsibility on the part of Atradius, including any obligation to conduct due diligence of buyers or on your behalf. If Atradius does conduct due diligence on any buyer it is for its own underwriting purposes and not for the benefit of the insured or any other person. Additionally, in no event shall Atradius and its related, affiliated and subsidiary companies be liable for any direct, indirect, special, incidental, or consequential damages arising out of the use of the statements made information herein.