Reports

Global Economic Outlook - November 2018

Economic research

  • Algeria,
  • Angola,
  • General economic

8th November 2018

Hiker Global Economic Outlook

The bright outlook presented in May has proven true but clouds are quickly gathering on the horizon. In an increasingly uncertain environment, there is no room for policy mistakes.

Trading Briefs

Atradius know-how on trading opportunities including the documents: Export Practice, Credit-to-Cash Briefings and the Atradius Risk Map.

Industry Performance Forecast

Atradius industry forecasts give you access to trends and forecasts in key industries of the country.

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    Country Report Russia 2019

    Country report

    • Russia
    • General economic

    15th October 2019

    Insolvencies are rising, and structural weaknesses and the negative impact of sanctions on productivity and investment weigh on the economic expansion.

    Country Report Turkey 2019

    Country report

    • Turkey
    • General economic

    15th October 2019

    Due to the recent economic downturn the credit risk situation of some major industries has deteriorated, and insolvencies are expected to increase.

    Country Report Poland 2019

    Country report

    • Poland
    • General economic

    15th October 2019

    Worries over the impact of adverse external factors like US import tariffs and the Brexit decision on Polish export and investment growth remain.

    Country Report Greece 2019

    Country report

    • Greece
    • General economic

    15th October 2019

    In 2020 household consumption is expected to accelerate, sustained by further decreasing unemployment, low inflation, and a minimum wage increase.

    Country Report Czech Republic 2019

    Country report

    • Czech Republic
    • General economic

    15th October 2019

    The economy is highly integrated into international value chains, making it vulnerable to major foreign trade losses, especially in the automotive sector.

    Country Report Hungary 2019

    Country report

    • Hungary
    • General economic

    15th October 2019

    The forint remains vulnerable to international investors’ sentiment due to the elevated external and public debt levels and institutional issues.

    Country Report Slovakia 2019

    Country report

    • Slovakia
    • General economic

    15th October 2019

    As the economy is reliant on automotive-related exports to the Eurozone, especially to Germany, it is vulnerable to adverse developments in the industry.

    Country Report Romania 2019

    Country report

    • Romania
    • General economic

    15th October 2019

    The currency is subject to some volatility, and the country is vulnerable to capital outflows should there be adverse internal or external developments.

    Country Report Bulgaria 2019

    Country report

    • Bulgaria
    • General economic

    15th October 2019

    Political instability remains an issue for the long-term economic growth prospects, while corruption and red tape still hamper the business environment.

    MENA Country Report UAE 2019

    Country report

    • United Arab Emirates
    • General economic

    1st October 2019

    Despite a modest economic rebound the business performance and credit risk situation of several industries remains strained, especially in Dubai.

    MENA Country Report Saudi Arabia 2019

    Country report

    • Saudi Arabia
    • General economic

    1st October 2019

    Beside deterioration of payment behaviour in the private sector, the number of payment delays in larger projects dependent on government funding is still high.

    MENA Country Report Egypt 2019

    Country report

    • Egypt
    • General economic

    1st October 2019

    In 2019 and 2020 growth is expected to exceed 5%, supported by exchange rate liberalization, interest rate normalisation and increasing tourist arrivals.

    MENA Country Report Morocco 2019

    Country report

    • Morocco
    • General economic

    1st October 2019

    The economy is currently forecast to expand by about 3.5% in 2020, however, this depends on decent performance in agriculture, tourism, and exports.

    MENA Country Report Tunisia 2019

    Country report

    • Tunisia
    • General economic

    1st October 2019

    Slow reform progress and social tensions weigh on the medium-term outlook, while economic expansion remains heavily dependent on the security situation.

    MENA Country Report Algeria 2019

    Country report

    • Algeria
    • General economic

    1st October 2019

    GDP growth is expected to recover only modestly as the oil fund is nearly depleted, and ongoing political uncertainty weighs on the economic performance.

    Eastern Europe credit risk rises as GDP growth eases

    Payment Practices Barometer

    • Bulgaria,
    • Czech Republic,
    • Automotive/Transport,
    • Chemicals/Pharma,

    18th September 2019

    Economic growth in Eastern Europe is projected to remain solid this year, despite losing steam mainly because of poor growth prospects for Turkey.

    Romania: expected upsurge in corporate insolvencies

    Payment Practices Barometer

    • Romania
    • Automotive/Transport,
    • Chemicals/Pharma,

    18th September 2019

    Economic growth in Romania is expected to slow down to around 3-3.1% this year, and to sink below 3% in 2020

    Slovakia: strong private consumption and export growth

    Payment Practices Barometer

    • Slovakia
    • Automotive/Transport,
    • Chemicals/Pharma,

    18th September 2019

    Real GDP growth in Slovakia is forecast to remain strong – 3.3% – this year and to slow slightly down to 3.2% in 2020

    Czech Republic: a resilient or vulnerable economy?

    Payment Practices Barometer

    • Czech Republic
    • Automotive/Transport,
    • Chemicals/Pharma,

    18th September 2019

    Economic expansion in the Czech Republic is forecast to remain positive over the coming months, with an average growth rate of about 3% this year.

    Poland: higher insolvency levels ahead

    Payment Practices Barometer

    • Poland
    • Automotive/Transport,
    • Chemicals/Pharma,

    18th September 2019

    Real GDP growth in Poland is forecast to reach 4.4% this year, slowing down to 3.6% in 2020.

    Turkey: uncertain economic outlook

    Payment Practices Barometer

    • Turkey
    • Automotive/Transport,
    • Chemicals/Pharma,

    18th September 2019

    Financial conditions in Turkey will be tighter in the coming months.

    Bulgaria: reliance on cash payment risks limiting trade

    Payment Practices Barometer

    • Bulgaria
    • Automotive/Transport,
    • Chemicals/Pharma,

    18th September 2019

    Economic expansion in Bulgaria is expected to lose some momentum in 2019, but should remain strong at above 3%, spurred by robust household spending, strong wage growth and an improving labour market

    Hungary: trade protection to ensure long-term business

    Payment Practices Barometer

    • Hungary
    • Automotive/Transport,
    • Chemicals/Pharma,

    18th September 2019

    Economic growth in Hungary gained momentum recently, with real GDP gains expected to reach 4.4% this year.

    Iran's economy muddling through scorched earth

    Economic research

    • Iran
    • General economic

    16th September 2019

    Iran continues to demonstrate economic resilience but prospects for integration into the world economy remain far off.

    Argentina struggling to stabilise currency

    Economic research

    • Argentina
    • General economic

    12th September 2019

    Argentina has introduced currency controls to stabilise peso in the run-up to elections.

    Market Monitor Automotive United Kingdom 2019

    Market Monitor

    • United Kingdom
    • Automotive/Transport

    10th September 2019

    The amount of suppliers facing insolvency will increase further in the coming 2-3 years, as many will find it hard to adapt to changing market conditions.

    Market Monitor Automotive Germany 2019

    Market Monitor

    • Germany
    • Automotive/Transport

    10th September 2019

    Many German Tier 2 suppliers face the issue that their products are easily substitutable, while their solvency and equity position is generally weak.

    Market Monitor Automotive USA 2019

    Market Monitor

    • USA
    • Automotive/Transport

    10th September 2019

    Any imposition of import tariffs on cars/car parts would severely impact suppliers in the Tier 2 segment where many businesses already show thin margins.

    Market Monitor Automotive China 2019

    Market Monitor

    • China
    • Automotive/Transport

    10th September 2019

    Small basic component parts producers often suffer from poor equity, while at the same time they face increasing difficulties obtaining bank finance.

    Market Monitor Automotive France 2019

    Market Monitor

    • France
    • Automotive/Transport

    10th September 2019

    While the automotive insolvency level has been low compared to other industries in the past, an increase of up to 3% is expected in the coming 12 months.

    Market Monitor Automotive Italy 2019

    Market Monitor

    • Italy
    • Automotive/Transport

    10th September 2019

    Suppliers active in the combustion engine parts and car metals segments are severely affected by deteriorating demand and a high level of competition.

    Market Monitor Automotive Japan 2019

    Market Monitor

    • Japan
    • Automotive/Transport

    10th September 2019

    US tariffs could severely impact Japanese suppliers of low value added/basic car parts, as OEMs could replace their products with tariff-free items.

    Market Monitor Automotive Mexico 2019

    Market Monitor

    • Mexico
    • Automotive/Transport

    10th September 2019

    Local-owned Tier 2 suppliers remain susceptible to commodity price changes and exchange rate volatility, with limited options to pass on higher prices.

    Market Monitor Automotive Czech Republic 2019

    Market Monitor

    • Czech Republic
    • Automotive/Transport

    10th September 2019

    Higher costs, reduced orders, price pressure and changes in the type of products demanded could put the finances of many smaller suppliers under stress.

    Market Monitor Automotive Poland 2019

    Market Monitor

    • Poland
    • Automotive/Transport

    10th September 2019

    Insolvencies are expected to increase by about 3% in the coming 12 months, mainly affecting car dealers, car part distributors and Tier 2 suppliers.

    Market Monitor Automotive Spain 2019

    Market Monitor

    • Spain
    • Automotive/Transport

    10th September 2019

    Larger suppliers could seize the opportunity of buying distressed smaller players in order to expand market share and bargaining power against OEMs.

    Market Monitor Automotive Sweden 2019

    Market Monitor

    • Sweden
    • Automotive/Transport

    10th September 2019

    Given the weaker Swedish krona exchange rate it cannot be ruled out that certain suppliers take this competitive edge for granted, delaying innovations.

    Debt Collections Handbook Australia 2019

    Debt Collection Handbook

    • Australia
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    9th September 2019

    Having drawn from the expertise of Atradius Collections' local offices, the International Debt Collections Handbook explains the different regulations and procedures for debt collections in Australia.

    Debt Collections Handbook Austria 2019

    Debt Collection Handbook

    • Austria
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    9th September 2019

    Having drawn from the expertise of Atradius Collections' local offices, the International Debt Collections Handbook explains the different regulations and procedures for debt collections in Austria.

    Debt Collections Handbook Belgium 2019

    Debt Collection Handbook

    • Belgium
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    9th September 2019

    Having drawn from the expertise of Atradius Collections' local offices, the International Debt Collections Handbook explains the different regulations and procedures for debt collections in Belgium.

    Debt Collections Handbook Brazil 2019

    Debt Collection Handbook

    • Brazil
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    9th September 2019

    Having drawn from the expertise of Atradius Collections' local offices, the International Debt Collections Handbook explains the different regulations and procedures for debt collections in Brazil.

    Debt Collections Handbook Bulgaria 2019

    Debt Collection Handbook

    • Bulgaria
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    9th September 2019

    Having drawn from the expertise of Atradius Collections' local offices, the International Debt Collections Handbook explains the different regulations and procedures for debt collections in Bulgaria.

    Debt Collections Handbook Canada 2019

    Debt Collection Handbook

    • Canada
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    9th September 2019

    Having drawn from the expertise of Atradius Collections' local offices, the International Debt Collections Handbook explains the different regulations and procedures for debt collections in Canada.

    Debt Collections Handbook China 2019

    Debt Collection Handbook

    • China
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    9th September 2019

    Having drawn from the expertise of Atradius Collections' local offices, the International Debt Collections Handbook explains the different regulations and procedures for debt collections in China.

    Debt Collections Handbook Chile 2019

    Debt Collection Handbook

    • Chile
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    9th September 2019

    Having drawn from the expertise of Atradius Collections' local offices, the International Debt Collections Handbook explains the different regulations and procedures for debt collections in Chile.

    Debt Collections Handbook Croatia 2019

    Debt Collection Handbook

    • Croatia
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    9th September 2019

    Having drawn from the expertise of Atradius Collections' local offices, the International Debt Collections Handbook explains the different regulations and procedures for debt collections in Croatia.

    Debt Collections Handbook Czech Republic 2019

    Debt Collection Handbook

    • Czech Republic
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    9th September 2019

    Having drawn from the expertise of Atradius Collections' local offices, the International Debt Collections Handbook explains the different regulations for debt collections in the Czech Republic.

    Debt Collections Handbook Denmark 2019

    Debt Collection Handbook

    • Denmark
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    9th September 2019

    Having drawn from the expertise of Atradius Collections' local offices, the International Debt Collections Handbook explains the different regulations and procedures for debt collections in Denmark.

    Debt Collections Handbook Finland 2019

    Debt Collection Handbook

    • Finland
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    9th September 2019

    Having drawn from the expertise of Atradius Collections' local offices, the International Debt Collections Handbook explains the different regulations and procedures for debt collections in Finland.

    Debt Collections Handbook France 2019

    Debt Collection Handbook

    • France
    • Agriculture,
    • Automotive/Transport,

    9th September 2019

    Having drawn from the expertise of Atradius Collections' local offices, the International Debt Collections Handbook explains the different regulations and procedures for debt collections in France.

    Disclaimer

    The statements made herein are provided solely for general informational purposes and should not be relied upon for any purpose. Please refer to the actual policy or the relevant product or services agreement for the governing terms. Nothing herein should be construed to create any right, obligation, advice or responsibility on the part of Atradius, including any obligation to conduct due diligence of buyers or on your behalf. If Atradius does conduct due diligence on any buyer it is for its own underwriting purposes and not for the benefit of the insured or any other person. Additionally, in no event shall Atradius and its related, affiliated and subsidiary companies be liable for any direct, indirect, special, incidental, or consequential damages arising out of the use of the statements made information herein.